Moshkelgosha

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As you can see in the weekly charts Gold has made a bearish bat pattern and has reached the first target..! Further correction in the high inflation era is less likely..! do not count on the 2nd and 3rd targets..! Always consider the probability of something happening, and Keep in mind nothing is impossible in the market!!! Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha...

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If you want to have a good forecast, you need to calculate all the possibilities ..! A comparison between 2008 & 2022: A Comparison between 2000 & 2022: My Observation: 1- In the 2000 market crash, after the early -39.5% market bounce back 43% in the next 3 months and then go...

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Based on my calculations, Jerome Powell is going to move the markets this week..! I am pretty much sure markets will move with higher momentum after FOMC..! Which side? We will have the answer in 2 days..! Best, Dr . Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant,...

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The collapse of BABA is twice as big as Evergrande's 300 Billion dollars debt crisis..! I believe no one could imagine BABA at 73 dollars a share, but it happened! Recommendation at these prices is really hard..! If you hold these could be the risks: - Chinese stock delist from US market - Further decline to 58 or lower So adding to your position when all the...

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After a sharp 107% move in 67 trading days, oil price experienced a 28% decline and now is back at 50EMA..! This move has other interesting features as well: 1- Back to the upper border of the broadening pattern: 2- Back to the price action support zone : 3- Retracement to 50%...

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What Is a Crack Spread? A crack spread refers to the overall pricing difference between a barrel of crude oil and the petroleum products refined from it. A crack spread is the overall pricing difference between a barrel of crude oil and the petroleum products refined from it. The price of a barrel of crude oil and the prices of the different products derived...

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Tuttle Capital did a great performance of +102% since November 9th, 2021..! This result will shine more when you compare it to the -19.58% return of NASDAQ 100 in the same timeframe..! I believe after a slight pullback, it will be among the winners of 2022..! Reading this could be fun: At the Dynasty Financial Partners' 2021 Investment Forum, Wood shared her...

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Most people invest their money in these 3 companies, NIO, LUCID, Rivian, or all of them because they had missed the opportunity to participate in the inflationary phase of the Tesla Bubble..! Unfortunately, now the deflationary phase of the bubble overlap, and they are coming down on the latitude mode..! People who invested in these stocks have lost more than...

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Most of Cathie Wood's followers were playing in the kindergarten or elementary school playground when she underperform the market in 2008. According to Alliance Bernstein documents, she had -46.72% net return and -45.12% pure gross return in 2008..! Interestingly, Positive alpha over every annualized time period (10-year alpha: 2.4%) Cathie Wood on her way to...

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Smart money is capital placed in the market by institutional investors, market mavens, central banks, funds, and other financial professionals. Smart money also refers to the force that influences and moves financial markets, often led by the actions of central banks. Smart money is invested on a much larger scale than retail investments. But do you know why...

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AAPL is in a downward trend since January 4th, 2022!' Although AAPL could go down another 10% in the coming weeks, I believe this is not a good place to short it just before the Quadruple Witch(March 18th). Education: If you detect a Downward regression channel try to open a short position in the upper half or at least near the midline..! The biggest problem...

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This chart shows the rate of change in the past 3 months..! The closet market performance in 3 months was Oct-Dec 2018 with a -17% return..! The question is how would it continue? Similar to 2008? or 2000? the worst 3-month performance was -38.53 Sep-Nov 2000 and the second-worst was -36.68 Sep-Nov 2008, the 3rd on so far is Jan-March 2022. What would be your...

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I am not like those clowns who use rocketships and invite you to the Moon, But, I warn you from getting whipped out, and I started doing this many months ago..! the gates of recession will be open sooner or later..! Macroeconomy in simple words: Higher inflation, Higher rates, lower spending will lead to a Recession..! If you have doubt review these (My...

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In this chart, you can not see Inflation (7.9%), however, it is still below the red line..! Based on my forecast if YOY inflation passes 8.5% it will fly far above it and soon it will be double..! Notice: We are going to experience a super volatile week: Interest Rate + Economic Projection + Quadruple Witch..! Best, Dr . Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a...

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let's review the analysis I published publicly in the past 10 days and asked people to share some profits with Ukrainian refugees! 1- VLO: +8.76% 2-SVX:+8.28% 3- SLB:+11.48% ...

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When I published my analysis on March 7th, the price was 86-87..! I mentioned a 46% opportunity in less than 6 months..! 2 Trading days after that, Bank of America increase its price target for Valero from 107 to 135..! I believe there will be an exceptional Q1 earning at the end of April..! Best, Dr . Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified...

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I believe this process will not end soon, do not try to catch a falling Chinese knife..! Charlie Munger has tried this with BABA and I do not think he is happy with his decision! Consider this: What would happen if China and Taiwan situation escalate..! Best, Dr . Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified...

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All traders have noticed the change in the market behavior in 2022..! This a market like you never have seen before..! This is the second-worst start of the year for US equities in 123 years. For context, the -11.9% drop in the first 44 trading days in 2022 is only rivaled by the 1920 Great Depression and the Great Financial Crisis. (MacroAlf, Author of The...