Search found 68 matches

by rolf
Mon Mar 09, 2020 11:59 am
Forum: Mt Bakewell
Topic: Tues 10th March
Replies: 1
Views: 1364

Re: Tues 10th March

Ed and I will be there at 11.30am hoping for a decent out and return.
by rolf
Mon Mar 09, 2020 5:17 am
Forum: Mt Bakewell
Topic: Tues 10th March
Replies: 1
Views: 1364

Tues 10th March

Tuesday looks like another day with potential. The models are all much closer and calling for nice strong thermals up to 8000ft AGL. The wind will be between South and ESE all day and less than 15kph on the ground. The winds aloft will be light <15kph all the way to TOL. It looks like a good day for...
by rolf
Fri Mar 06, 2020 3:53 am
Forum: Mt Bakewell
Topic: Saturday March 7th
Replies: 0
Views: 2308

Saturday March 7th

A light westerly day. It could go either way depending on the amount of cloud, but the optimistic version says there will be good lift to about 6000ft AGL and a nice tailwind making it easy to fly towards Tammin. The less optimistic forecast models have TOL about 3000ft AGL. Either way it looks pote...
by rolf
Wed Mar 04, 2020 12:30 pm
Forum: Mt Bakewell
Topic: Sunday 8th March
Replies: 0
Views: 2389

Sunday 8th March

SSE - ESE All day.
Light winds, maybe enough to ridge soar.
Good thermals. 600f/m and lift to 6000ft AGL. XC North possible.
Maybe magic lift late in the day.
A chance for HG and PG to fly.
by rolf
Wed Mar 04, 2020 12:27 pm
Forum: Mt Bakewell
Topic: Weds 4th March
Replies: 1
Views: 1573

Re: Weds 4th March

The most stable day I can remember for a long time. High cirrus overhead most of the time. It was 32C and humid and I spend over an hour trying to launch in a light Northerly with no cycles coming through. When I finally got into the air it was dead smooth except for a few bubbles but nothing I coul...
by rolf
Sun Mar 01, 2020 9:19 am
Forum: Mt Bakewell
Topic: Weds 4th March
Replies: 1
Views: 1573

Weds 4th March

Light NE winds all day. Thermal strength will overpower the wind so it will be launch-able from the middle or top launch most of the day. Thermals to about 5000ft AGL. Light winds (<10kph) to TOL so a good triangle day. Work permitting I'll be there for around 11.30am. Launching will only be possibl...
by rolf
Fri Feb 14, 2020 9:13 am
Forum: Mt Bakewell
Topic: Sunday Feb 16th
Replies: 0
Views: 2696

Sunday Feb 16th

The models all disagree about some aspects of the forecast and so there is a range of possible outcomes. Firstly the models predict top of lift to be between 4000ft and 6000ft AGL around noon. Updraft velocity is forecast to be between 4-5m/s (800-100ft/min) so some big air likely between 11am and 3...
by rolf
Mon Feb 10, 2020 1:14 am
Forum: Mt Bakewell
Topic: Weds 12th Feb
Replies: 0
Views: 2660

Weds 12th Feb

The models are looking great.

Light (8-15kph) S-SSE on the ground and lift up to 5000ft AGL

Climbs of 4m/s or 800ft/min

Perfect buoyancy to shear ratio, good day for XC.

26-29c on the ground at 1pm and 15c at TOL.
by rolf
Fri Feb 07, 2020 10:40 am
Forum: Mt Bakewell
Topic: Sun 9th Feb - Weds12th Feb
Replies: 0
Views: 2642

Sun 9th Feb - Weds12th Feb

Some of the super optimistic pilots are heading out to Sids to Aerotow on Sunday. The models call for 10-12kt on the ground, gusting to 15-18kt all day between 12 - 6pm. Personally I think Sid won't get the dragonfly out as it will be too strong, but if the models are all completely wrong it might b...
by rolf
Fri Feb 07, 2020 10:15 am
Forum: Perth Coastal
Topic: Serpantine Sat Feb 8th
Replies: 0
Views: 2803

Serpantine Sat Feb 8th

It looks like it will be ridge soarable on Saturday between 11am and 4pm with 10-14kt WSW and lift to 2000ft AGL.

I'll be up top by 11am. I will ring for permission.

See you there!