Search found 62 matches

by rolf
Fri Feb 14, 2020 9:13 am
Forum: Mt Bakewell
Topic: Sunday Feb 16th
Replies: 0
Views: 13

Sunday Feb 16th

The models all disagree about some aspects of the forecast and so there is a range of possible outcomes. Firstly the models predict top of lift to be between 4000ft and 6000ft AGL around noon. Updraft velocity is forecast to be between 4-5m/s (800-100ft/min) so some big air likely between 11am and 3...
by rolf
Mon Feb 10, 2020 1:14 am
Forum: Mt Bakewell
Topic: Weds 12th Feb
Replies: 0
Views: 27

Weds 12th Feb

The models are looking great.

Light (8-15kph) S-SSE on the ground and lift up to 5000ft AGL

Climbs of 4m/s or 800ft/min

Perfect buoyancy to shear ratio, good day for XC.

26-29c on the ground at 1pm and 15c at TOL.
by rolf
Fri Feb 07, 2020 10:40 am
Forum: Mt Bakewell
Topic: Sun 9th Feb - Weds12th Feb
Replies: 0
Views: 26

Sun 9th Feb - Weds12th Feb

Some of the super optimistic pilots are heading out to Sids to Aerotow on Sunday. The models call for 10-12kt on the ground, gusting to 15-18kt all day between 12 - 6pm. Personally I think Sid won't get the dragonfly out as it will be too strong, but if the models are all completely wrong it might b...
by rolf
Fri Feb 07, 2020 10:15 am
Forum: Perth Coastal
Topic: Serpantine Sat Feb 8th
Replies: 0
Views: 22

Serpantine Sat Feb 8th

It looks like it will be ridge soarable on Saturday between 11am and 4pm with 10-14kt WSW and lift to 2000ft AGL.

I'll be up top by 11am. I will ring for permission.

See you there!
by rolf
Wed Jan 29, 2020 1:19 pm
Forum: Mt Bakewell
Topic: Friday 31 Jan
Replies: 1
Views: 54

Friday 31 Jan

Friday looks ridge soarable all day at Bakewell. Lift to >6k AGL.

15kph tailwind from the South all the way up. Another good day to fly North. I'll be trying for Wongan again, hoping to be in the air by 12pm.
by rolf
Tue Jan 21, 2020 7:03 am
Forum: Mt Bakewell
Topic: Friday 24th Jan
Replies: 0
Views: 58

Friday 24th Jan

Light Southerly winds on the ground.

Light winds (SW-S) less than 10kph all the way to TOL.

A slower day to head North or a day to head South and try and use the increasing SW in the afternoon for an out and return.

Lift at least 4000ft AGL maybe as high as 9000ft AGL.
by rolf
Tue Jan 21, 2020 6:59 am
Forum: Mt Bakewell
Topic: Thursday 23rd Jan
Replies: 1
Views: 86

Thursday 23rd Jan

Light Southerlies on launch from 11am.

Lift starting at 3000ft AGL and increasing to 7000ft AGL.

15-20kph Southerly tail winds all the way up to TOL.

A great day for a speedy flight to Wongan Hills.

I'll try and be in the air before 12pm and looking for a sub 3 hrs flight to Wongan.
by rolf
Sat Jan 18, 2020 10:44 am
Forum: Mt Bakewell
Topic: Sunday 19th Jan
Replies: 4
Views: 156

Re: Sunday 19th Jan

If the GFS is right it should be good conditions for going XC between 1-2pm. I'll plan to be at Lous around 11.30am. It's probably a bit early but I think I'll need some time to troubleshoot Lous car unless someone else has fixed it by now. Looks like a slight crosswind for the flight North, but not...
by rolf
Fri Jan 17, 2020 12:29 am
Forum: Mt Bakewell
Topic: Friday 17
Replies: 2
Views: 110

Re: Friday 17

If all the models are completely wrong then it could be ok. Personally I think the winds will be too strong with too much West to make launching off the front launches safe. The West launch will be usable but it will be very strong there, it will be thermic around lunch time and so there might be lu...
by rolf
Thu Jan 16, 2020 1:57 pm
Forum: Mt Bakewell
Topic: Sunday 19th Jan
Replies: 4
Views: 156

Sunday 19th Jan

It looks like a good day to fly to Calingiri. Nice tail wind and about 5000ft of lift AGL.

Anyone else interested?